Home Building Backlog

  • 4 min read

The housing market has become a whirlwind of surges and drops, leaving potential homebuyers and builders grappling with uncertainties. This journey through the twists and turns of the industry has been notably influenced by the complexities of building contracting. In this exploration, we delve into how building contracting affects homeownership, home buying, and the overall supply of homes in the market.

The Lumber Price Rollercoaster: Affecting Home Affordability

In a seemingly contradictory tale of headlines, the narrative of lumber prices has swung from surging to dropping, leaving many puzzled. In June, surging lumber prices were deemed responsible for putting homeownership out of reach. Fast forward to July 8th, and a drop in lumber prices was accompanied by a soar in construction pricing. The conundrum lies in understanding the intricate dance between construction costs, market demand, and the ever-evolving housing landscape.

America: A Massive Housing Construction Site

A key factor shaping the current housing scenario is the massive construction spree across America. The surge in home prices, driven by market demand, demographic shifts, and social influences, has turned the nation into a colossal housing construction site. In September alone, there were a staggering 700,000 single-family homes under construction—the highest level since 2007.

Addressing the Shortfall: A Drop in the Housing Bucket

Despite the robust construction pace, the housing shortfall looms large. Quotes circulating in the industry suggest that the U.S. market may be short by four to five million homes. The construction rate, even at its peak, remains insufficient to meet the growing demand. At this pace, it would take years to bridge the gap between the number of houses needed and the current construction output.

Supply Chain Bottlenecks: Delaying the Market Entry

Supply chain bottlenecks have added another layer of complexity to the construction equation. Delays in obtaining appliances, glue, paint, and fixtures have slowed down the completion of houses. The ripple effect is a growing inventory of single-family homes awaiting completion, contributing to the overall shortage in the market.

Labor Dilution: The Unintended Consequence

As demand for construction projects surges, the scarcity of labor becomes apparent. In regions with ongoing construction, the demand for trades and individual labor dilutes the focus on individual houses within a subdivision. This dilution is likely to persist for the next four to five years, creating a scenario where demand outstrips supply.

Looking Ahead: The Long-Term Perspective

Despite the challenges, building contractors have a unique opportunity to shape the future of housing. While the demand-side dynamics may remain intense for several more years, the market could reach equilibrium towards the end of the decade. Changes in demographics, a shift toward multi-family housing, and potential government initiatives may influence the housing landscape in unforeseen ways.

The Building Advantage: Creating Homes on Your Terms

For prospective homeowners, the road to homeownership might be arduous, but building contractors offer a silver lining. Opting for new construction allows individuals to sidestep the volatility of the market. While the process may be emotionally challenging and time-consuming, the end result is a home that aligns with personal preferences, free from the depreciation associated with resale homes.

Navigating the Construction Journey

In the ever-evolving landscape of the housing market, understanding the intricate dance between construction dynamics, market forces, and supply chain challenges is crucial. Whether you’re a prospective homeowner or a seasoned building contractor, the journey ahead requires adaptability and strategic planning.

Stay tuned for more insights into the construction industry, market trends, and homeownership. Your comments and experiences are valuable additions to the ongoing conversation. Together, we navigate the complexities of building, homeownership, and the quest for a place to call home.

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